Post 1:
“Patternicity
is the tendency to find meaningful patterns in both meaningful and meaningless
noise.” When one uses this method, he/she makes a Type I or a Type II error. A
Type I error is believing a pattern is real when it is not. A Type II error is
not believing a pattern is real when it is real. For example, a person would be
making a Type I error if he believes that the tapping on his bedroom window is
a ghost. A Type II error is believing the tapping on the window is not a ghost
when it is actually a ghost. The first error has a low cost because if one
thinks every noise is something dangerous or supernatural, then he will never
be surprised. The second error has a greater cost because ignoring a dangerous
situation could result in death. That is why people tend to believe that
unexplained noises are a ghost or some other horrific entity. Feeling out of control can also cause people
to see patterns when there are none.
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I really appreciate you talking about patternicity as it has not been talked about much in these posts and is honestly one of my favourite things we have learned in this course.
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