Tuesday, July 10, 2018


Post 1:

“Patternicity is the tendency to find meaningful patterns in both meaningful and meaningless noise.” When one uses this method, he/she makes a Type I or a Type II error. A Type I error is believing a pattern is real when it is not. A Type II error is not believing a pattern is real when it is real. For example, a person would be making a Type I error if he believes that the tapping on his bedroom window is a ghost. A Type II error is believing the tapping on the window is not a ghost when it is actually a ghost. The first error has a low cost because if one thinks every noise is something dangerous or supernatural, then he will never be surprised. The second error has a greater cost because ignoring a dangerous situation could result in death. That is why people tend to believe that unexplained noises are a ghost or some other horrific entity.  Feeling out of control can also cause people to see patterns when there are none.

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