Sunday, June 13, 2010

How We Know What Isn’t So

Thomas Gilovich believes that most things that intuition can lead us astray can be proven with statistics. He explains how our minds try to find order in randomness even when everything is irregular, and we always look for evidence to confirm our idea. He also shows how people tend to overlook data if something has made a bad impression in the beginning we do not give it a chance again. The author uses many examples to show how common misconceptions can be proven with statistics.

My favorite part of the book was when he talked about hot hands in basketball. I have experienced this streakiness first hand when I played basketball or even baseball. I definitely believed in hot hands, or even a player being hot at a certain time. Gilovich says that this really doesn’t happens and backs it up with statistics.

I enjoyed reading this book especially because it used a lot of examples that happen in real life. I also like things to do with statistics and this book used statistics to dispose of misconceptions. If you do not like statistics than you probably won’t like this book as much as I did.

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